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=== Physical water scarcity ===
=== Physical water scarcity ===
[[Physical water scarcity]] is where there is not enough water to meet all demands, including that needed for ecosystems to function effectively. Arid regions frequently suffer from physical water scarcity. It also occurs where water seems abundant but where resources are over-committed, such as when there is overdevelopment of hydraulic infrastructure for irrigation. Symptoms of physical water scarcity include environmental degradation and declining groundwater. Water stress harms living things because every organism needs water to live.
[[Physical water scarcity]] is where there is not enough water to meet all demands, including that needed for ecosystems to function effectively. Arid regions frequently suffer from physical water scarcity. It also occurs where water seems abundant but where resources are over-committed, such as when there is overdevelopment of hydraulic infrastructure for irrigation. Symptoms of physical water scarcity include environmental degradation and declining groundwater.


Physical water scarcity results from inadequate natural water resources to supply a region's demand, and economic water scarcity results from poor management of the sufficient available water resources. According to the [[United Nations Development Programme]], the latter is found more often to be the cause of countries or regions experiencing water scarcity, as most countries or regions have enough water to meet household, industrial, agricultural, and environmental needs, but lack the means to provide it in an accessible manner.<ref name=":1">United Nations Development Programme (2006). [http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-report-2006 Human Development Report 2006: Beyond Scarcity–Power, Poverty and the Global Water Crisis] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180107062747/http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-report-2006 |date=7 January 2018 }}. Basingstoke, United Kingdom:Palgrave Macmillan.</ref> Around one-fifth of the world's population currently live in regions affected by [[Physical water scarcity]], where there are inadequate water resources to meet a country's or regional demand, including the water needed to fulfill the demand of ecosystems to function effectively.<ref name=":1" /> Arid regions frequently suffer from physical water scarcity. It also occurs where water seems abundant but where resources are over-committed, such as when there is overdevelopment of hydraulic infrastructure for irrigation. Symptoms of physical water scarcity include environmental degradation and declining groundwater as well as other forms of exploitation or overuse.<ref>{{cite web|title=Water scarcity, risk and vulnerability|url=http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/HDR_2006_Chapter_4.pdf|access-date=2 December 2014|archive-date=12 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190412100918/http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/HDR_2006_Chapter_4.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>
Physical water scarcity results from inadequate natural water resources to supply a region's demand, and economic water scarcity results from poor management of the sufficient available water resources. According to the [[United Nations Development Programme]], the latter is found more often to be the cause of countries or regions experiencing water scarcity, as most countries or regions have enough water to meet household, industrial, agricultural, and environmental needs, but lack the means to provide it in an accessible manner.<ref name=":1">United Nations Development Programme (2006). [http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-report-2006 Human Development Report 2006: Beyond Scarcity–Power, Poverty and the Global Water Crisis] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180107062747/http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-report-2006 |date=7 January 2018 }}. Basingstoke, United Kingdom:Palgrave Macmillan.</ref> Around one-fifth of the world's population currently live in regions affected by [[Physical water scarcity]], where there are inadequate water resources to meet a country's or regional demand, including the water needed to fulfill the demand of ecosystems to function effectively.<ref name=":1" /> Arid regions frequently suffer from physical water scarcity. It also occurs where water seems abundant but where resources are over-committed, such as when there is overdevelopment of hydraulic infrastructure for irrigation. Symptoms of physical water scarcity include environmental degradation and declining groundwater as well as other forms of exploitation or overuse.<ref>{{cite web|title=Water scarcity, risk and vulnerability|url=http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/HDR_2006_Chapter_4.pdf|access-date=2 December 2014|archive-date=12 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190412100918/http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/HDR_2006_Chapter_4.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>

Water is physically scarce in densely populated arid areas (for example Central and West Asia, and North Africa), with projected availabilities of less than 1000 cubic meters per capita per year.<ref name=":0" /> This water scarcity relates to water available for food production, rather than for [[drinking water]] which is a much smaller amount.<ref name=":0" />


=== Economic water scarcity ===
=== Economic water scarcity ===
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=== Demand ===
=== Demand ===
The fresh water available to us on the planet is around 1% of the total water on earth.<ref name=":13">{{Cite web|last=Conceição|first=Pedro|date=2020|title=The next frontier Human development and the Anthropocene|url=http://hdr.undp.org/en/2020-report|access-date=14 March 2021|website=United Nations Development Reports}}</ref> Most of this water comes from rivers, glaciers, lakes, wetlands, groundwater, and streams.<ref>{{Cite web|title=What is Freshwater and Where is it Found?|url=https://www.worldwildlife.org/industries/freshwater-systems|access-date=2021-03-14|website=World Wildlife Fund|language=en}}</ref> With the increase in global temperatures and in an increase in water demand, six out of ten people are at risk of being water-stressed. The drying out of wetlands globally, at around 67%, was a direct cause of a large number of people at risk of water stress. As the global demand for water increases and as climate temperatures rise, it is estimated that two-thirds of the population, in 2025, will live under water stress.<ref name=":13"/>
The fresh water available to us on the planet is around 1% of the total water on earth.<ref name=":13">{{Cite web|last=Conceição|first=Pedro|date=2020|title=The next frontier Human development and the Anthropocene|url=http://hdr.undp.org/en/2020-report|access-date=14 March 2021|website=United Nations Development Reports}}</ref> Most of this water comes from rivers, glaciers, lakes, wetlands, groundwater, and streams.<ref>{{Cite web|title=What is Freshwater and Where is it Found?|url=https://www.worldwildlife.org/industries/freshwater-systems|access-date=2021-03-14|website=World Wildlife Fund|language=en}}</ref> With the increase in global temperatures and in an increase in water demand, six out of ten people are at risk of being water-stressed. The drying out of wetlands globally, at around 67%, was a direct cause of a large number of people at risk of water stress. As the global demand for water increases and as climate temperatures rise, it is estimated that two-thirds of the population, in 2025, will live under water stress.<ref name=":13"/>

== Impacts ==
There are several impacts of water scarcity:
* Food security in the Middle East and North Africa Region <ref>{{cite journal|last1=Nouri|first1=H.|last2=Stokvis|first2=B.|last3=Galindo|first3=A.|last4=Blatchford|first4=M.|last5=Hoekstra|first5=A.Y.|year=2019|title=Water scarcity alleviation through water footprint reduction in agriculture: The effect of soil mulching and drip irrigation|journal=Science of the Total Environment|volume=653|pages=241–252|bibcode=2019ScTEn.653..241N|doi=10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.311|pmid=30412869|doi-access=free}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Barnes|first=Jessica|date=Fall 2020|title=Water in the Middle East: A Primer|url=https://merip.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/MERIP-Primer-on-Water-in-the-Middle-East.pdf|url-status=live|journal=Middle East Report|volume=296|pages=1–9|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201127140347/https://merip.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/MERIP-Primer-on-Water-in-the-Middle-East.pdf|archive-date=27 November 2020|access-date=19 November 2020|via=Middle East Research and Information Project (MERIP)}}</ref>
* Inadequate access to safe [[drinking water]] for about 885 million people<ref>{{cite book|url=http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Joint_Monitoring_Report_-_17_July_2008.pdf|title=Progress in Drinking-water and Sanitation: special focus on sanitation|date=17 July 2008|work=MDG Assessment Report 2008|publisher=WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation|page=25|access-date=19 November 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180711103312/https://www.unicef.org/media/files/Joint_Monitoring_Report_-_17_July_2008.pdf|archive-date=11 July 2018|url-status=live}}</ref>
* [[Groundwater]] [[overdrafting]] (excessive use) leading to diminished [[agriculture|agricultural]] yields<ref>{{cite web|title=Water is Life – Groundwater drawdown|url=http://academic.evergreen.edu/g/grossmaz/WORMKA/|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110616201947/http://academic.evergreen.edu/g/grossmaz/WORMKA/|archive-date=16 June 2011|access-date=10 March 2011|publisher=Academic.evergreen.edu}}</ref>
* Overuse and [[Water pollution|pollution of water]] resources harming [[Ecosystem|ecosystems]] and [[biodiversity]]
* Regional conflicts over scarce water resources sometimes resulting in [[war]]fare.<ref name=":5">{{Cite web|date=12 October 2019|title=The Coming Wars for Water|url=https://reportsyndication.news.blog/2019/10/12/the-coming-wars-for-water/|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191019173433/https://reportsyndication.news.blog/2019/10/12/the-coming-wars-for-water/|archive-date=19 October 2019|access-date=6 January 2020|website=Report Syndication}}</ref>

=== Environment ===
Abstraction of water for domestic, food and industrial uses has major impacts on [[Ecosystem|ecosystems]] in many parts of the world. This can apply even to regions not considered “water scarce”.<ref name=":0" />

Water scarcity has many negative impacts on the environment, such as adverse effects on lakes, rivers, ponds, wetlands and other fresh water resources. The resulting water overuse that is related to water scarcity, often located in areas of irrigation agriculture, harms the environment in several ways including increased [[salinity]], [[nutrient pollution]], and the loss of [[floodplains]] and wetlands.<ref name=":1" /><ref>{{cite web|title=Water Scarcity Index – Vital Water Graphics|url=http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article77.html|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081216143250/http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article77.html|archive-date=16 December 2008|access-date=20 October 2013}}</ref> Furthermore, water scarcity makes flow management in the rehabilitation of urban streams problematic.<ref>{{cite journal|author1=J.E. Lawrence|author2=C.P.W. Pavia|author3=S. Kaing|author4=H.N. Bischel|author5=R.G. Luthy|author6=V.H. Resh|year=2014|title=Recycled Water for Augmenting Urban Streams in Mediterranean-climate Regions: A Potential Approach for Riparian Ecosystem Enhancement|journal=Hydrological Sciences Journal|volume=59|issue=3–4|pages=488–501|doi=10.1080/02626667.2013.818221|s2cid=129362661}}</ref>
[[File:AralShip.jpg|thumb|An abandoned ship in the former [[Aral Sea]], near [[Aral, Kazakhstan]]]]
Through the last hundred years, more than half of the Earth's wetlands have been destroyed and have disappeared.<ref name=":2" /> These wetlands are important not only because they are the habitats of numerous inhabitants such as mammals, birds, fish, amphibians, and [[invertebrates]], but they support the growing of rice and other food crops as well as provide [[water filtration]] and protection from storms and flooding. Freshwater lakes such as the [[Aral Sea]] in central Asia have also suffered. Once the fourth largest freshwater lake, it has lost more than 58,000 square km of area and vastly increased in salt concentration over the span of three decades.<ref name=":2" />

Subsidence, or the gradual sinking of landforms, is another result of water scarcity. The [[U.S. Geological Survey]] estimates that subsidence has affected more than 17,000 square miles in 45 U.S. states, 80 percent of it due to groundwater usage.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Land Subsidence in the United States|url=https://water.usgs.gov/ogw/pubs/fs00165/|access-date=2021-06-15|website=water.usgs.gov}}</ref>

Vegetation and wildlife are fundamentally dependent upon adequate freshwater resources. [[Marsh]]es, [[bog]]s and [[riparian zone]]s are more obviously dependent upon sustainable water supply, but forests and other upland ecosystems are equally at risk of significant productivity changes as water availability is diminished. In the case of wetlands, considerable area has been simply taken from wildlife use to feed and house the expanding human population. But other areas have suffered reduced productivity from gradual diminishing of freshwater inflow, as upstream sources are diverted for human use. In seven states of the U.S. over 80 percent of all historic [[wetland]]s were filled by the 1980s, when Congress acted to create a "[[no net loss (wetlands)|no net loss]]" of wetlands.<ref>{{Cite web|last1=Hayes|first1=David J.|last2=Gentile|first2=Nicole|title=No Net Loss|url=https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/reports/2016/11/01/291509/no-net-loss/|access-date=2021-06-15|website=Center for American Progress|language=en-US}}</ref>

In [[Europe]] extensive loss of wetlands has also occurred with resulting [[Biodiversity loss|loss of biodiversity]]. For example, many bogs in [[Scotland]] have been developed or diminished through human population expansion. One example is the [[Portlethen Moss]] in [[Aberdeenshire]].

[[File:Madagascar highland plateau.jpg|thumb|[[Deforestation in Madagascar|Deforestation of the Madagascar Highland Plateau]] has led to extensive [[siltation]] and unstable flows of western rivers.]]

On [[Madagascar]]'s highland plateau, a massive transformation occurred that eliminated virtually all the heavily forested vegetation in the period 1970 to 2000. The [[slash and burn]] agriculture eliminated about ten percent of the total country's native biomass and converted it to a barren wasteland. These effects were from [[Human overpopulation|overpopulation]] and the necessity to feed poor indigenous peoples, but the adverse effects included widespread gully erosion that in turn produced heavily silted rivers that "run red" decades after the [[deforestation]]. This eliminated a large amount of usable fresh water and also destroyed much of the riverine ecosystems of several large west-flowing rivers. Several fish species have been driven to the edge of extinction and some, such as the disturbed Tokios [[coral reef]] formations in the [[Indian Ocean]], are effectively lost.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Deforestation in Madagascar|url=https://christiankull.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/mcconnell-kull-2014-book-chapter.pdf|access-date=2021-06-15}}</ref>

=== Water shortages ===
[[Waterborne diseases]] caused by lack of [[sanitation]] and [[hygiene]] are one of the leading causes of death worldwide. For children under age five, waterborne diseases are a leading cause of death. According to the [[World Bank]], 88 percent of all waterborne diseases are caused by unsafe drinking water, inadequate sanitation and poor hygiene.<ref>{{cite news|date=18 December 2007|title=All About: Water and Health|publisher=CNN|url=http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/12/17/eco.about.water/|url-status=live|access-date=19 November 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171023162858/http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/12/17/eco.about.water/|archive-date=23 October 2017}}</ref>

Water is the underlying tenuous balance of safe water supply, but controllable factors such as the management and distribution of the water supply itself contribute to further scarcity.

A 2006 United Nations report focuses on issues of governance as the core of the water crisis, saying "There is enough water for everyone" and "Water insufficiency is often due to mismanagement, corruption, lack of appropriate institutions, bureaucratic inertia and a shortage of investment in both human capacity and physical infrastructure".<ref>[http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0014/001444/144409E.pdf Water, a shared responsibility. The United Nations World Water Development Report 2] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090106144926/http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0014/001444/144409E.pdf|date=6 January 2009}}, 2006</ref> Official data also shows a clear correlation between access to safe water and GDP per capita.<ref>{{cite web|title=Public Services|url=http://www.gapminder.org/videos/gapcasts/gapcast-9-public-services/|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407031727/http://www.gapminder.org/videos/gapcasts/gapcast-9-public-services/|archive-date=7 April 2012|access-date=19 November 2012|publisher=Gapminder video}}</ref>

It has also been claimed, primarily by economists, that the water situation has occurred because of a lack of [[property rights]], government regulations and subsidies in the water sector, causing prices to be too low and consumption too high, making a point for [[water privatization]].<ref>Segerfeldt, Fredrik (25 August 2005), [http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=4462 "Private Water Saves Lives"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110921133211/http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=4462|date=21 September 2011}}, ''Financial Times''.</ref><ref>Zetland, David (1 August 2008) [http://aguanomics.com/2008/08/running-out-of-water.html "Running Out of Water"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110707094104/http://www.aguanomics.com/2008/08/running-out-of-water.html|date=7 July 2011}}. aguanomics.com</ref><ref>Zetland, David (14 July 2008) [http://aguanomics.com/2008/07/water-crisis.html "Water Crisis"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110707094234/http://www.aguanomics.com/2008/07/water-crisis.html|date=7 July 2011}}. aguanomics.com</ref>


== Causes and contributing factors ==
== Causes and contributing factors ==
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====Glaciers====
====Glaciers====
About 2% of Earth's water is frozen freshwater found in glaciers. These glaciers, when naturally melting, provide fresh water to any local areas near the glacier's run-off. This water is used by locals for a number of reasons like agriculture, livestock, and hydropower.<ref name=":23">{{Cite journal|last=Oerlemans|first=J|date=1998|title=Modeling the response of glaciers to climate warming|url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s003820050222|journal=Climate Dynamics|volume=14|issue=4|pages=267–274|doi=10.1007/s003820050222|bibcode=1998ClDy...14..267O|s2cid=128464695}}</ref> This is beneficial in helping reduce water scarcity as more water is available to a select number of people. It has been projected that total glaciers worldwide will be 60% of what they are now, in the year 2100.<ref name=":23"/> The main reason for the melting of these glaciers is climate change. Glaciers reflect sunlight from the sun back into space providing a decrease in temperatures worldwide. This process is called albedo and without the glaciers reflecting sunlight, temperatures would slowly begin to rise.<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Corrpio|first=J.G.|date=2004|title=Snow surface albedo estimation using terrestrial photography|url=https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01431160410001709002|journal=International Journal of Remote Sensing|volume=25:24|issue=24|pages=5705–5729|doi=10.1080/01431160410001709002|bibcode=2004IJRS...25.5705C|s2cid=55830821|via=Google scholar}}</ref> As temperatures rise, glaciers will melt quicker overall reducing the total amount of sunlight being reflected worldwide.  Melting glaciers, over a long period of time, begin receding and will be difficult to recover once seasonal changes occur. Glacier's losing mass may decrease their annual run-off, coupled with receding glaciers, which will change the availability of water in many cold regions of the world. About a third of glaciers may experience a 10% run-off reduction in some seasons.<ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Huss|first1=Matthias|last2=Hock|first2=Regine|date=January 2018|title=Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss|url=https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-017-0049-x|journal=Nature Climate Change|volume=8|issue=2|pages=135–140|doi=10.1038/s41558-017-0049-x|bibcode=2018NatCC...8..135H|s2cid=5025320}}</ref>
About 2% of Earth's water is frozen freshwater found in glaciers. These glaciers, when naturally melting, provide fresh water to any local areas near the glacier's run-off. This water is used by locals for a number of reasons like agriculture, livestock, and hydropower.<ref name=":23">{{Cite journal|last=Oerlemans|first=J|date=1998|title=Modeling the response of glaciers to climate warming|url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s003820050222|journal=Climate Dynamics|volume=14|issue=4|pages=267–274|doi=10.1007/s003820050222|bibcode=1998ClDy...14..267O|s2cid=128464695}}</ref> This is beneficial in helping reduce water scarcity as more water is available to a select number of people. It has been projected that total glaciers worldwide will be 60% of what they are now, in the year 2100.<ref name=":23" /> The main reason for the melting of these glaciers is climate change. Glaciers reflect sunlight from the sun back into space providing a decrease in temperatures worldwide. This process is called albedo and without the glaciers reflecting sunlight, temperatures would slowly begin to rise.<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Corrpio|first=J.G.|date=2004|title=Snow surface albedo estimation using terrestrial photography|url=https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01431160410001709002|journal=International Journal of Remote Sensing|volume=25:24|issue=24|pages=5705–5729|doi=10.1080/01431160410001709002|bibcode=2004IJRS...25.5705C|s2cid=55830821|via=Google scholar}}</ref> As temperatures rise, glaciers will melt quicker overall reducing the total amount of sunlight being reflected worldwide.  Melting glaciers, over a long period of time, begin receding and will be difficult to recover once seasonal changes occur. Glacier's losing mass may decrease their annual run-off, coupled with receding glaciers, which will change the availability of water in many cold regions of the world. About a third of glaciers may experience a 10% run-off reduction in some seasons.<ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Huss|first1=Matthias|last2=Hock|first2=Regine|date=January 2018|title=Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss|url=https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-017-0049-x|journal=Nature Climate Change|volume=8|issue=2|pages=135–140|doi=10.1038/s41558-017-0049-x|bibcode=2018NatCC...8..135H|s2cid=5025320}}</ref>


=== Expansion of agricultural and industrial users ===
=== Expansion of agricultural and industrial users ===
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In 60% of European cities with more than 100,000 people, groundwater is being used at a faster rate than it can be replenished.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://reports.eea.europa.eu/92-826-5409-5/en |title=Europe's Environment: The Dobris Assessment |publisher=Reports.eea.europa.eu |date=1995-05-20 |access-date=2009-03-12 |archive-date=22 September 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080922204930/http://reports.eea.europa.eu/92-826-5409-5/en |url-status=dead }}</ref> Even if some water remains available, it [[diminishing returns|costs increasingly more]] to capture it.
In 60% of European cities with more than 100,000 people, groundwater is being used at a faster rate than it can be replenished.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://reports.eea.europa.eu/92-826-5409-5/en |title=Europe's Environment: The Dobris Assessment |publisher=Reports.eea.europa.eu |date=1995-05-20 |access-date=2009-03-12 |archive-date=22 September 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080922204930/http://reports.eea.europa.eu/92-826-5409-5/en |url-status=dead }}</ref> Even if some water remains available, it [[diminishing returns|costs increasingly more]] to capture it.


== Options for improvements ==
==Impacts==
There are several impacts of water scarcity:
* Food security in the Middle East and North Africa Region <ref>{{cite journal|last1=Nouri|first1=H.|last2=Stokvis|first2=B.|last3=Galindo|first3=A.|last4=Blatchford|first4=M.|last5=Hoekstra|first5=A.Y.|year=2019|title=Water scarcity alleviation through water footprint reduction in agriculture: The effect of soil mulching and drip irrigation|journal=Science of the Total Environment|volume=653|pages=241–252|bibcode=2019ScTEn.653..241N|doi=10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.311|pmid=30412869|doi-access=free}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Barnes|first=Jessica|date=Fall 2020|title=Water in the Middle East: A Primer|url=https://merip.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/MERIP-Primer-on-Water-in-the-Middle-East.pdf|journal=Middle East Report|volume=296|pages=1–9|via=Middle East Research and Information Project (MERIP)|access-date=19 November 2020|archive-date=27 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201127140347/https://merip.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/MERIP-Primer-on-Water-in-the-Middle-East.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>
* Inadequate access to safe [[drinking water]] for about 885 million people<ref>{{cite book|url=http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Joint_Monitoring_Report_-_17_July_2008.pdf|title=Progress in Drinking-water and Sanitation: special focus on sanitation|date=17 July 2008|work=MDG Assessment Report 2008|publisher=WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation|page=25|access-date=19 November 2012|archive-date=11 July 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180711103312/https://www.unicef.org/media/files/Joint_Monitoring_Report_-_17_July_2008.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>
* [[Groundwater]] [[overdrafting]] (excessive use) leading to diminished [[agriculture|agricultural]] yields<ref>{{cite web|title=Water is Life – Groundwater drawdown|url=http://academic.evergreen.edu/g/grossmaz/WORMKA/|access-date=10 March 2011|publisher=Academic.evergreen.edu|archive-date=16 June 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110616201947/http://academic.evergreen.edu/g/grossmaz/WORMKA/|url-status=live}}</ref>
* Overuse and [[Water pollution|pollution of water]] resources harming [[Ecosystem|ecosystems]] and [[biodiversity]]
* Regional conflicts over scarce water resources sometimes resulting in [[war]]fare.<ref name=":5">{{Cite web|date=12 October 2019|title=The Coming Wars for Water|url=https://reportsyndication.news.blog/2019/10/12/the-coming-wars-for-water/|website=Report Syndication|access-date=6 January 2020|archive-date=19 October 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191019173433/https://reportsyndication.news.blog/2019/10/12/the-coming-wars-for-water/|url-status=live}}</ref>

=== Environment ===
Abstraction of water for domestic, food and industrial uses has major impacts on [[Ecosystem|ecosystems]] in many parts of the world. This can apply even to regions not considered “water scarce”.<ref name=":0" />

Water scarcity has many negative impacts on the environment, such as adverse effects on lakes, rivers, ponds, wetlands and other fresh water resources. The resulting water overuse that is related to water scarcity, often located in areas of irrigation agriculture, harms the environment in several ways including increased [[salinity]], [[nutrient pollution]], and the loss of [[floodplains]] and wetlands.<ref name=":1" /><ref>{{cite web|title=Water Scarcity Index – Vital Water Graphics|url=http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article77.html|access-date=20 October 2013|archive-date=16 December 2008|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081216143250/http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article77.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Furthermore, water scarcity makes flow management in the rehabilitation of urban streams problematic.<ref>{{cite journal|author1=J.E. Lawrence|author2=C.P.W. Pavia|author3=S. Kaing|author4=H.N. Bischel|author5=R.G. Luthy|author6=V.H. Resh|year=2014|title=Recycled Water for Augmenting Urban Streams in Mediterranean-climate Regions: A Potential Approach for Riparian Ecosystem Enhancement|journal=Hydrological Sciences Journal|volume=59|issue=3–4|pages=488–501|doi=10.1080/02626667.2013.818221|s2cid=129362661}}</ref>
[[File:AralShip.jpg|thumb|An abandoned ship in the former [[Aral Sea]], near [[Aral, Kazakhstan]]]]
Through the last hundred years, more than half of the Earth's wetlands have been destroyed and have disappeared.<ref name=":2" /> These wetlands are important not only because they are the habitats of numerous inhabitants such as mammals, birds, fish, amphibians, and [[invertebrates]], but they support the growing of rice and other food crops as well as provide [[water filtration]] and protection from storms and flooding. Freshwater lakes such as the [[Aral Sea]] in central Asia have also suffered. Once the fourth largest freshwater lake, it has lost more than 58,000 square km of area and vastly increased in salt concentration over the span of three decades.<ref name=":2" />

Subsidence, or the gradual sinking of landforms, is another result of water scarcity. The [[U.S. Geological Survey]] estimates that subsidence has affected more than 17,000 square miles in 45 U.S. states, 80 percent of it due to groundwater usage.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Land Subsidence in the United States|url=https://water.usgs.gov/ogw/pubs/fs00165/|access-date=2021-06-15|website=water.usgs.gov}}</ref>

Vegetation and wildlife are fundamentally dependent upon adequate freshwater resources. [[Marsh]]es, [[bog]]s and [[riparian zone]]s are more obviously dependent upon sustainable water supply, but forests and other upland ecosystems are equally at risk of significant productivity changes as water availability is diminished. In the case of wetlands, considerable area has been simply taken from wildlife use to feed and house the expanding human population. But other areas have suffered reduced productivity from gradual diminishing of freshwater inflow, as upstream sources are diverted for human use. In seven states of the U.S. over 80 percent of all historic [[wetland]]s were filled by the 1980s, when Congress acted to create a "[[no net loss (wetlands)|no net loss]]" of wetlands.<ref>{{Cite web|last1=Hayes|first1=David J.|last2=Gentile|first2=Nicole|title=No Net Loss|url=https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/reports/2016/11/01/291509/no-net-loss/|access-date=2021-06-15|website=Center for American Progress|language=en-US}}</ref>

In [[Europe]] extensive loss of wetlands has also occurred with resulting [[Biodiversity loss|loss of biodiversity]]. For example, many bogs in [[Scotland]] have been developed or diminished through human population expansion. One example is the [[Portlethen Moss]] in [[Aberdeenshire]].

[[File:Madagascar highland plateau.jpg|thumb|[[Deforestation in Madagascar|Deforestation of the Madagascar Highland Plateau]] has led to extensive [[siltation]] and unstable flows of western rivers.]]

On [[Madagascar]]'s highland plateau, a massive transformation occurred that eliminated virtually all the heavily forested vegetation in the period 1970 to 2000. The [[slash and burn]] agriculture eliminated about ten percent of the total country's native biomass and converted it to a barren wasteland. These effects were from [[Human overpopulation|overpopulation]] and the necessity to feed poor indigenous peoples, but the adverse effects included widespread gully erosion that in turn produced heavily silted rivers that "run red" decades after the [[deforestation]]. This eliminated a large amount of usable fresh water and also destroyed much of the riverine ecosystems of several large west-flowing rivers. Several fish species have been driven to the edge of extinction and some, such as the disturbed Tokios [[coral reef]] formations in the [[Indian Ocean]], are effectively lost.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Deforestation in Madagascar|url=https://christiankull.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/mcconnell-kull-2014-book-chapter.pdf|access-date=2021-06-15}}</ref>

=== Water shortages ===
[[Waterborne diseases]] caused by lack of [[sanitation]] and [[hygiene]] are one of the leading causes of death worldwide. For children under age five, waterborne diseases are a leading cause of death. According to the [[World Bank]], 88 percent of all waterborne diseases are caused by unsafe drinking water, inadequate sanitation and poor hygiene.<ref>{{cite news
| url=http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/12/17/eco.about.water/
| title=All About: Water and Health
| publisher=CNN
| date=18 December 2007
| access-date=19 November 2012
| archive-date=23 October 2017
| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171023162858/http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/12/17/eco.about.water/
| url-status=live
}}</ref>

Water is the underlying tenuous balance of safe water supply, but controllable factors such as the management and distribution of the water supply itself contribute to further scarcity.

A 2006 United Nations report focuses on issues of governance as the core of the water crisis, saying "There is enough water for everyone" and "Water insufficiency is often due to mismanagement, corruption, lack of appropriate institutions, bureaucratic inertia and a shortage of investment in both human capacity and physical infrastructure".<ref>[http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0014/001444/144409E.pdf Water, a shared responsibility. The United Nations World Water Development Report 2] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090106144926/http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0014/001444/144409E.pdf |date=6 January 2009 }}, 2006</ref> Official data also shows a clear correlation between access to safe water and GDP per capita.<ref>{{cite web
| url=http://www.gapminder.org/videos/gapcasts/gapcast-9-public-services/
| title=Public Services
| publisher=Gapminder video
| access-date=19 November 2012
| archive-date=7 April 2012
| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407031727/http://www.gapminder.org/videos/gapcasts/gapcast-9-public-services/
| url-status=dead
}}</ref>

It has also been claimed, primarily by economists, that the water situation has occurred because of a lack of [[property rights]], government regulations and subsidies in the water sector, causing prices to be too low and consumption too high, making a point for [[water privatization]].<ref>Segerfeldt, Fredrik (25 August 2005), [http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=4462 "Private Water Saves Lives"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110921133211/http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=4462 |date=21 September 2011 }}, ''Financial Times''.</ref><ref>Zetland, David (1 August 2008) [http://aguanomics.com/2008/08/running-out-of-water.html "Running Out of Water"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110707094104/http://www.aguanomics.com/2008/08/running-out-of-water.html |date=7 July 2011 }}. aguanomics.com</ref><ref>Zetland, David (14 July 2008) [http://aguanomics.com/2008/07/water-crisis.html "Water Crisis"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110707094234/http://www.aguanomics.com/2008/07/water-crisis.html |date=7 July 2011 }}. aguanomics.com</ref>

== Approaches ==


=== Supply and demand side management ===
=== Supply and demand side management ===

Revision as of 14:34, 11 August 2021

Water stress per country in 2019.

Water scarcity (closely related with water stress or water crisis) is the lack of fresh water resources to meet the standard water demand. Humanity is facing a water crisis, due to unequal distribution (exacerbated by climate change) resulting in some very wet and some very dry geographic locations, plus a sharp rise in global freshwater demand in recent decades. Water scarcity can also be caused by droughts, lack of rainfall, or pollution. This was listed in 2019 by the World Economic Forum as one of the largest global risks in terms of potential impact over the next decade.[1] It is manifested by partial or no satisfaction of expressed demand, economic competition for water quantity or quality, disputes between users, irreversible depletion of groundwater, and negative impacts on the environment.[2] Two-thirds of the global population (4 billion people) live under conditions of severe water scarcity at least 1 month of the year.[3][4] Half a billion people in the world face severe water scarcity all year round.[3] Half of the world's largest cities experience water scarcity.[4]

The essence of global water scarcity is the geographic and temporal mismatch between fresh water demand and availability.[5][6] The main driving forces for the rising global demand for water are the increasing world population, improving living standards, changing consumption patterns, and expansion of irrigated agriculture.[7][8] Climate change, such as altered weather-patterns (including droughts or floods), deforestation, increased pollution, green house gases, and wasteful use of water can cause insufficient supply.[9] At the global level and on an annual basis, enough freshwater is available to meet such demand, but spatial and temporal variations of water demand and availability are large, leading to (physical) water scarcity in several parts of the world during specific times of the year.[3] Scarcity varies over time as a result of natural hydrological variability, but varies even more so as a function of prevailing economic policy, planning and management approaches. Scarcity can be expected to intensify with most forms of economic development, but, if correctly identified, many of its causes can be predicted, avoided or mitigated.[2]

Concepts

A review in 2006 stated that "It is surprisingly difficult to determine whether water is truly scarce in the physical sense at a global scale (a supply problem) or whether it is available but should be used better (a demand problem)".[10]

Physical water scarcity

Physical water scarcity is where there is not enough water to meet all demands, including that needed for ecosystems to function effectively. Arid regions frequently suffer from physical water scarcity. It also occurs where water seems abundant but where resources are over-committed, such as when there is overdevelopment of hydraulic infrastructure for irrigation. Symptoms of physical water scarcity include environmental degradation and declining groundwater.

Physical water scarcity results from inadequate natural water resources to supply a region's demand, and economic water scarcity results from poor management of the sufficient available water resources. According to the United Nations Development Programme, the latter is found more often to be the cause of countries or regions experiencing water scarcity, as most countries or regions have enough water to meet household, industrial, agricultural, and environmental needs, but lack the means to provide it in an accessible manner.[11] Around one-fifth of the world's population currently live in regions affected by Physical water scarcity, where there are inadequate water resources to meet a country's or regional demand, including the water needed to fulfill the demand of ecosystems to function effectively.[11] Arid regions frequently suffer from physical water scarcity. It also occurs where water seems abundant but where resources are over-committed, such as when there is overdevelopment of hydraulic infrastructure for irrigation. Symptoms of physical water scarcity include environmental degradation and declining groundwater as well as other forms of exploitation or overuse.[12]

Water is physically scarce in densely populated arid areas (for example Central and West Asia, and North Africa), with projected availabilities of less than 1000 cubic meters per capita per year.[10] This water scarcity relates to water available for food production, rather than for drinking water which is a much smaller amount.[10]

Economic water scarcity

Economic water scarcity is caused by a lack of investment in infrastructure or technology to draw water from rivers, aquifers, or other water sources, or insufficient human capacity to satisfy the demand for water. One-quarter of the world's population is affected by economic water scarcity. Economic water scarcity includes a lack of infrastructure, causing the people without reliable access to water to have to travel long distances to fetch water, which is often contaminated from rivers for domestic and agricultural uses.

Much of Sub-Saharan Africa is characterized by economic water scarcity.[13]: 11 

Water stress as an indicator

Water stress has been used as parameter to measure water scarcity, for example in the context of Sustainable Development Goal 6.[14] In this context, a report by FAO in 2018 has defined water stress as: "the ratio between total freshwater withdrawn (TFWW) by all major sectors and total renewable freshwater resources (TRWR), after taking into account environmental flow requirements (EFR)". This means that the value for TFWW is divided by the difference between TRWR minus EFR.[15]: xii  Environmental flows are water flows required to sustain freshwater and estuarine ecosystems. Previously, a definition used for Millennium Development Goal 7, target 7.A was simply the proportion of total water resources used, without taking into consideration EFR.[15]: 28  With this definition, water stress is defined by the following categories: <10% is low stress; 10-20% is low-to-medium; 20-40% medium-to-high; 40-80% high; >80% extremely high.[16]

Indicators are used to measure the extent of the water scarcity.[17] One approach to measuring water scarcity is to calculate the amount of annual water resources available per person. For example, according to the "Falkenmark Water Stress Indicator" (developed by Malin Falkenmark), a country or region is said to experience "water stress" when annual water supplies drop below 1,700 cubic meters per person per year.[18] At levels between 1,700 and 1,000 cubic meters per person per year, periodic or limited water shortages can be expected. When water supplies drop below 1,000 cubic meters per person per year, the country faces "water scarcity". However, the Falkenmark Water Stress Indicator does not help to explain the true nature of water scarcity.[10]

Water crisis

Girls of squatter settlement in Dharan collect water from river

When a country sees an increase in population, they can expect an increase in water demand.[19] According to a projection by the United Nations, by the year 2040, there can be about 4.5 billion people affected by a water crisis. Additionally, with the increase in population, there will be a demand for food, for the food output to match the population growth, there would be an increased demand for water to irrigate crops.[19] Increasing the demand for water as well as increasing the population results in a water crisis where there is not enough water to share in healthy levels. The crises are not only due to quantity but quality also matters.

Water resources

Global physical and economic water scarcity
Children fetch water from a muddy stream in a rural area during dry season. The water is taken back home and undergoes filtration and other treatments before usage.
Water Scarcity, Jaffna
Global use of freshwater, 2016 FAO data
Global water consumption 1900–2025, by region, in billions m3 per year

Availability

The United Nations (UN) estimates that, of 1.4 billion cubic kilometers (1 quadrillion acre-feet) of water on Earth, just 200,000 cubic kilometers (162.1 billion acre-feet) represent freshwater available for human consumption.[20] A mere 0.014% of all water on Earth is both fresh and easily accessible. Of the remaining water, 97% is saline, and a little less than 3% is difficult to access. The total amount of easily accessible freshwater on Earth, in the form of surface water (rivers and lakes) or groundwater (in aquifers, for example), is 14,000 cubic kilometres (nearly 3359 cubic miles). Of this total amount, 'just' 5,000 cubic kilometres are being used and reused by humanity. Technically, there is a sufficient amount of freshwater on a global scale.

Hence, in theory, there is more than enough freshwater available to meet the demands of the current world population of more than 7 billion people, and even support population growth to 9 billion or more. Due to the unequal geographical distribution and especially the unequal consumption of water, however, it is a scarce resource in some parts of the world and for some parts of the population.[21]

Renewable freshwater resources

Renewable freshwater supply is a metric often used in conjunction when evaluating water scarcity. This metric is informative because it can describe the total available water resource each country contains. By knowing the total available water source, an idea can be gained about whether a country is prone to experiencing physical water scarcity. This metric has its faults in that it is an average; precipitation delivers water unevenly across the planet each year and annual renewable water resources vary from year to year. This metric also does not describe the accessibility of water to individuals, households, industries, or the government. Lastly, as this metric is a description of a whole country, it does not accurately portray whether a country is experiencing water scarcity. Canada and Brazil both have very high levels of available water supply but still, experience various water-related problems.[22]

It can be observed that tropical countries in Asia and Africa have low availability of freshwater resources (see List of countries by total renewable water resources).

Demand

The fresh water available to us on the planet is around 1% of the total water on earth.[23] Most of this water comes from rivers, glaciers, lakes, wetlands, groundwater, and streams.[24] With the increase in global temperatures and in an increase in water demand, six out of ten people are at risk of being water-stressed. The drying out of wetlands globally, at around 67%, was a direct cause of a large number of people at risk of water stress. As the global demand for water increases and as climate temperatures rise, it is estimated that two-thirds of the population, in 2025, will live under water stress.[23]

Impacts

There are several impacts of water scarcity:

Environment

Abstraction of water for domestic, food and industrial uses has major impacts on ecosystems in many parts of the world. This can apply even to regions not considered “water scarce”.[10]

Water scarcity has many negative impacts on the environment, such as adverse effects on lakes, rivers, ponds, wetlands and other fresh water resources. The resulting water overuse that is related to water scarcity, often located in areas of irrigation agriculture, harms the environment in several ways including increased salinity, nutrient pollution, and the loss of floodplains and wetlands.[11][30] Furthermore, water scarcity makes flow management in the rehabilitation of urban streams problematic.[31]

An abandoned ship in the former Aral Sea, near Aral, Kazakhstan

Through the last hundred years, more than half of the Earth's wetlands have been destroyed and have disappeared.[9] These wetlands are important not only because they are the habitats of numerous inhabitants such as mammals, birds, fish, amphibians, and invertebrates, but they support the growing of rice and other food crops as well as provide water filtration and protection from storms and flooding. Freshwater lakes such as the Aral Sea in central Asia have also suffered. Once the fourth largest freshwater lake, it has lost more than 58,000 square km of area and vastly increased in salt concentration over the span of three decades.[9]

Subsidence, or the gradual sinking of landforms, is another result of water scarcity. The U.S. Geological Survey estimates that subsidence has affected more than 17,000 square miles in 45 U.S. states, 80 percent of it due to groundwater usage.[32]

Vegetation and wildlife are fundamentally dependent upon adequate freshwater resources. Marshes, bogs and riparian zones are more obviously dependent upon sustainable water supply, but forests and other upland ecosystems are equally at risk of significant productivity changes as water availability is diminished. In the case of wetlands, considerable area has been simply taken from wildlife use to feed and house the expanding human population. But other areas have suffered reduced productivity from gradual diminishing of freshwater inflow, as upstream sources are diverted for human use. In seven states of the U.S. over 80 percent of all historic wetlands were filled by the 1980s, when Congress acted to create a "no net loss" of wetlands.[33]

In Europe extensive loss of wetlands has also occurred with resulting loss of biodiversity. For example, many bogs in Scotland have been developed or diminished through human population expansion. One example is the Portlethen Moss in Aberdeenshire.

Deforestation of the Madagascar Highland Plateau has led to extensive siltation and unstable flows of western rivers.

On Madagascar's highland plateau, a massive transformation occurred that eliminated virtually all the heavily forested vegetation in the period 1970 to 2000. The slash and burn agriculture eliminated about ten percent of the total country's native biomass and converted it to a barren wasteland. These effects were from overpopulation and the necessity to feed poor indigenous peoples, but the adverse effects included widespread gully erosion that in turn produced heavily silted rivers that "run red" decades after the deforestation. This eliminated a large amount of usable fresh water and also destroyed much of the riverine ecosystems of several large west-flowing rivers. Several fish species have been driven to the edge of extinction and some, such as the disturbed Tokios coral reef formations in the Indian Ocean, are effectively lost.[34]

Water shortages

Waterborne diseases caused by lack of sanitation and hygiene are one of the leading causes of death worldwide. For children under age five, waterborne diseases are a leading cause of death. According to the World Bank, 88 percent of all waterborne diseases are caused by unsafe drinking water, inadequate sanitation and poor hygiene.[35]

Water is the underlying tenuous balance of safe water supply, but controllable factors such as the management and distribution of the water supply itself contribute to further scarcity.

A 2006 United Nations report focuses on issues of governance as the core of the water crisis, saying "There is enough water for everyone" and "Water insufficiency is often due to mismanagement, corruption, lack of appropriate institutions, bureaucratic inertia and a shortage of investment in both human capacity and physical infrastructure".[36] Official data also shows a clear correlation between access to safe water and GDP per capita.[37]

It has also been claimed, primarily by economists, that the water situation has occurred because of a lack of property rights, government regulations and subsidies in the water sector, causing prices to be too low and consumption too high, making a point for water privatization.[38][39][40]

Causes and contributing factors

Depletion of freshwater resources

Lake Chad has shrunk by 90% since the 1960s.[41]

Apart from the conventional surface water sources of freshwater such as rivers and lakes, other resources of freshwater such as groundwater and glaciers have become more developed sources of freshwater, becoming the main source of clean water. Groundwater is water that has pooled below the surface of the Earth and can provide a usable quantity of water through springs or wells. These areas where groundwater is collected are also known as aquifers. Glaciers provide freshwater in the form meltwater, or freshwater melted from snow or ice, that supply streams or springs as temperatures rise. More and more of these sources are being drawn upon as conventional sources' usability decreases due to factors such as pollution or disappearance due to climate changes. Human population growth is a significant contributing factor in the increasing use of these types of water resources.[22]

Groundwater

Due to the expanding human population, competition for water is growing such that many of the world's major aquifers are becoming depleted. This is due both to direct human consumption as well as agricultural irrigation by groundwater. Millions of pumps of all sizes are currently extracting groundwater throughout the world. Irrigation in dry areas such as northern China, Nepal and India is supplied by groundwater and is being extracted at an unsustainable rate. Cities that have experienced aquifer drops between 10 and 50 meters include Mexico City, Bangkok, Beijing, Madras and Shanghai.[42]

Until recent history, groundwater was not a highly utilized resource. In the 1960s, more and more groundwater aquifers developed.[43] Changes in knowledge, technology and funding have allowed for focused development into abstracting water from groundwater resources away from surface water resources. These changes allowed for progress in society such as the "agricultural groundwater revolution", expanding the irrigation sector allowing for increased food production and development in rural areas.[44] Groundwater supplies nearly half of all drinking water in the world.[45] The large volumes of water stored underground in most aquifers have a considerable buffer capacity allowing for water to be withdrawn during periods of drought or little rainfall.[22] This is crucial for people that live in regions that cannot depend on precipitation or surface water as a supply alone, instead providing reliable access to water all year round. As of 2010, the world's aggregated groundwater abstraction is estimated at approximately 1,000 km3 per year, with 67% used for irrigation, 22% used for domestic purposes and 11% used for industrial purposes.[22] The top ten major consumers of abstracted water (India, China, United States of America, Pakistan, Iran, Bangladesh, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and Italy) make up 72% of all abstracted water use worldwide.[22]

Pivot irrigation in Saudi Arabia, April 1997. Saudi Arabia is suffering from a major depletion of the water in its underground aquifers.[46]

Although groundwater sources are quite prevalent, one major area of concern is the renewal rate or recharge rate of some groundwater sources. Extracting from groundwater sources that are non-renewable could lead to exhaustion if not properly monitored and managed.[47] Another concern of increased groundwater usage is the diminished water quality of the source over time. Reduction of natural outflows, decreasing stored volumes, declining water levels and water degradation are commonly observed in groundwater systems.[22] Groundwater depletion may result in many negative effects such as increased cost of groundwater pumping, induced salinity and other water quality changes, land subsidence, degraded springs and reduced baseflows. Human pollution is also harmful to this important resource.

To set up a big plant near a water abundant area, bottled water companies need to extract groundwater from a source at a rate more than the replenishment rate leading to the persistent decline in the groundwater levels. The groundwater is taken out, bottled, and then shipped all over the country or world and this water never goes back. When the water table depletes beyond a critical limit, bottling companies just move from that area leaving a grave water scarcity. Groundwater depletion impacts everyone and everything in the area that uses the water: farmers, businesses, animals, ecosystems, tourism and other users e.g. people reliant on a local well for potable water. Millions of gallons of water out of the ground leaves the water table depleted uniformly and not just in that area because the water table is connected across the landmass. Bottling Plants generate water scarcity and impact ecological balance. They lead to water-stressed areas which bring in droughts.[48]

Glaciers

About 2% of Earth's water is frozen freshwater found in glaciers. These glaciers, when naturally melting, provide fresh water to any local areas near the glacier's run-off. This water is used by locals for a number of reasons like agriculture, livestock, and hydropower.[49] This is beneficial in helping reduce water scarcity as more water is available to a select number of people. It has been projected that total glaciers worldwide will be 60% of what they are now, in the year 2100.[49] The main reason for the melting of these glaciers is climate change. Glaciers reflect sunlight from the sun back into space providing a decrease in temperatures worldwide. This process is called albedo and without the glaciers reflecting sunlight, temperatures would slowly begin to rise.[50] As temperatures rise, glaciers will melt quicker overall reducing the total amount of sunlight being reflected worldwide.  Melting glaciers, over a long period of time, begin receding and will be difficult to recover once seasonal changes occur. Glacier's losing mass may decrease their annual run-off, coupled with receding glaciers, which will change the availability of water in many cold regions of the world. About a third of glaciers may experience a 10% run-off reduction in some seasons.[51]

Expansion of agricultural and industrial users

Scarcity as a result of consumption is caused primarily by the extensive use of water in agriculture/livestock breeding and industry. People in developed countries generally use about 10 times more water daily than those in developing countries.[52] A large part of this is indirect use in water-intensive agricultural and industrial production processes of consumer goods, such as fruit, oilseed crops and cotton. Because many of these production chains have been globalized, a lot of water in developing countries is being used and polluted in order to produce goods destined for consumption in developed countries.[21]

Business activity ranging from industrialization to services such as tourism and entertainment continues to expand rapidly. This expansion requires increased water services including both supply and sanitation, which can lead to more pressure on water resources and natural ecosystem. The approximate 50% growth in world energy use by 2040 will also increase the need for efficient water use,[53] and may shift some irrigation water sources towards industrial use, as thermal power generation uses water for steam generation and cooling.[citation needed]

Climate change

Climate change could have significant impacts on water resources around the world because of the close connections between the climate and hydrological cycle. Rising temperatures will increase evaporation and lead to increases in precipitation, though there will be regional variations in rainfall. Both droughts and floods may become more frequent in different regions at different times, and dramatic changes in snowfall and snow melt are expected in mountainous areas. Higher temperatures will also affect water quality in ways that are not well understood. Possible impacts include increased eutrophication. Climate change could also mean an increase in demand for farm irrigation, garden sprinklers, and perhaps even swimming pools. There is now ample evidence that increased hydrologic variability and change in climate has and will continue have a profound impact on the water sector through the hydrologic cycle, water availability, water demand, and water allocation at the global, regional, basin, and local levels.[54]

The United Nations' FAO states that by 2025, 1.9 billion people will live in countries or regions with absolute water scarcity, and two-thirds of the world population could be under stress conditions.[55] The World Bank adds that climate change could profoundly alter future patterns of both water availability and use, thereby increasing levels of water stress and insecurity, both at the global scale and in sectors that depend on water.[56]

Another popular opinion is that the amount of available freshwater is decreasing because of climate change. Climate change has caused receding glaciers, reduced stream and river flow, and shrinking lakes and ponds. Many aquifers have been over-pumped and are not recharging quickly. Although the total fresh water supply is not used up, much has become polluted, salted, unsuitable or otherwise unavailable for drinking, industry and agriculture. To avoid a global water crisis, farmers will have to strive to increase productivity to meet growing demands for food, while industry and cities find ways to use water more efficiently.[57][58]

GEO-2000 estimate for 2025, 25 African countries are expected to suffer from water shortage or water stress.[59]

In the Himalayas, retreating glaciers could reduce summer water flows by up to two-thirds. In the Ganges area, this would cause a water shortage for 500 million people.[60] Climate change impacts potable water in the Hindu Kush Himalaya (HKH) area, where around 1.4 billion people are dependent on the five main rivers of Himalaya mountains.[61] Although the impact will vary from place to place, it is predicted that the amount of meltwater will initially increase due to retreating glaciers and then gradually decrease because of reducing in glacier mass.[62] In those areas where the amount of available water decreases, climate change makes it difficult to improve access to safe drinkable water.[63] HKH area faces rapid urbanization causing a severe shortage of water and pressure on water resources. Rural areas will also suffer because of a lack of effective water management infrastructure and limited access to drinking water. More people will migrate because of the scarcity of drinking water. This situation will increase inequality by leaving the poor behind that cause higher mortality and suicide rate, and accelerate further urbanization.[64]

Population growth

Around fifty years ago, the common perception was that water was an infinite resource. At that time, there were fewer than half the current number of people on the planet. People were not as wealthy as today, consumed fewer calories and ate less meat, so less water was needed to produce their food. They required a third of the volume of water we presently take from rivers. Today, the competition for water resources is much more intense. This is because there are now seven billion people on the planet, their consumption of water-thirsty meat is rising, and there is increasing competition for water from industry, urbanisation biofuel crops, and water reliant food items. In the future, even more water will be needed to produce food because the Earth's population is forecast to rise to 9 billion by 2050.[65]

In 2000, the world population was 6.2 billion. The UN estimates that by 2050 there will be an additional 3.5 billion people with most of the growth in developing countries that already suffer water stress.[66] Thus, water demand will increase unless there are corresponding increases in water conservation and recycling of this vital resource.[67] In building on the data presented here by the UN, the World Bank[68] goes on to explain that access to water for producing food will be one of the main challenges in the decades to come. Access to water will need to be balanced with the importance of managing water itself in a sustainable way while taking into account the impact of climate change, and other environmental and social variables.[69]

Rapid urbanization

The trend towards urbanization is accelerating. Small private wells and septic tanks that work well in low-density communities are not feasible within high-density urban areas. Urbanization requires significant investment in water infrastructure in order to deliver water to individuals and to process the concentrations of wastewater – both from individuals and from business. These polluted and contaminated waters must be treated or they pose unacceptable public health risks.

In 60% of European cities with more than 100,000 people, groundwater is being used at a faster rate than it can be replenished.[70] Even if some water remains available, it costs increasingly more to capture it.

Options for improvements

Supply and demand side management

The International Resource Panel of the UN states that governments have tended to invest heavily in largely inefficient solutions: mega-projects like dams, canals, aqueducts, pipelines and water reservoirs, which are generally neither environmentally sustainable nor economically viable.[71] The most cost-effective way of decoupling water use from economic growth, according to the scientific panel, is for governments to create holistic water management plans that take into account the entire water cycle: from source to distribution, economic use, treatment, recycling, reuse and return to the environment.

In general, there is enough water on an annual and global scale, but the issue is more of a temporal and spatial variation. Therefore, reservoirs and pipelines are needed to address the temporal and spatial variations. It is necessary to have a well-planned infrastructure with demand side management. Both supply-side and demand-side management have advantages and disadvantages.[citation needed]

Cooperation

Cape Town water crisis warning

It is alleged[by whom?] that the likelihood of conflict rises if the rate of change within a basin exceeds the capacity of institutions to absorb that change.[72][failed verification] Although water crises can relate closely to regional tensions, history has shown that cases of cooperation far outnumber acute conflicts over water.[citation needed]

However, lack of cooperation may give rise to regional conflicts in many parts of the world, specially in developing countries, largely because of the disputes regarding the availability, use and management of water.[29] For example, the dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has escalated in 2020.[73][74] Egypt sees the dam as an existential threat, fearing that the dam will reduce the amount of water it receives from the Nile.[75]

The Indus River Commission and the 1960 Indus Water Treaty have survived two wars between India and Pakistan despite the two countries' mutual hostility, proving a successful mechanism in resolving conflicts by providing a framework for consultation, inspection and exchange of data. The Mekong Committee has functioned since 1957 and outlived the Vietnam War of 1955–1975. In contrast, regional instability results when countries lack institutions to co-operate in regional collaboration, like Egypt's plan for a high dam on the Nile. However, as of 2019 no global institution supervises the management of trans-boundary water sources, and international co-operation has happened through ad hoc collaboration between agencies, like the Mekong Committee which formed due to an alliance between UNICEF and the US Bureau of Reclamation. Formation of strong international institutions seems[original research?] to provide a way forward – they encourage early intervention and management,[citation needed] avoiding costly dispute-resolution processes.

One common feature of almost all resolved disputes is that the negotiations had a "need-based" instead of a "right–based" paradigm. Irrigable lands, population, and technicalities of projects define "needs". The success of a need-based paradigm is reflected in the only water agreement ever negotiated in the Jordan River Basin, which focuses in needs not on rights of riparians. In the Indian subcontinent, the irrigation requirements of Bangladesh determine water allocations of the Ganges River.[citation needed] A need-based, regional approach focuses on satisfying individuals with their need of water, ensuring that minimum quantitative needs are met. It removes the conflict that arises when countries view the treaty from a national-interest point-of-view and move away from a zero-sum approach to a positive-sum, integrative approach that equitably allocates water and its benefits.[citation needed] This means that both equity and efficiency of water use systems become significant, particularly under water scarcity. The combination of these two performance factors should occur in the context of sustainability making continuous cooperation among all the stakeholders in a learning mode highly desirable.[53]

The Blue Peace framework developed by Strategic Foresight Group in partnership with the governments of Switzerland and Sweden offers a unique policy structure which promotes sustainable management of water resources combined with cooperation for peace. By making the most of shared water-resources through cooperation rather than mere allocation between countries, the chances for peace can increase.[76][need quotation to verify] The Blue Peace approach has proven effective in (for example) the Middle East[77][78] and the Nile basin.[77][79] NGOs like Water.org, There Is No Limit Foundation,[80] and Charity: Water are leading the way[citation needed] in providing access to clean water.

File:Tree reducing evaporation.jpg
Shade casting vegetation can help reduce evaporation

Water production and conservation

The solutions for the various national water crisis are partly (fresh)water protection and production with different technologies.

Solar humidification and dehumidification

Many atmospheric water generators operate in a manner very similar to that of a dehumidifier: air is passed over a cooled coil, causing water to condense.[81] Some of its advantages are their low price, the absence of heavy metals and bacteria improving populations health and their versatility of use of air as source of water, without the need of a lake, river or ocean nearby.

Clean water technology

The treatment of wastewater helps to protect natural waterbodies and has started to become a source of drinking water in places like Singapore.

Desalination machines are designed to extract mineral components from saline water. More generally, desalination refers to the removal of salts and minerals from a target substance,[82] Energy efficient desalination with an electricity use of less than 1,0 kwh per cubic metre of freshwater can be regarded as the end to the global water crisis. Several companies have developed technologies under this value like Siemens and TS Prototype-Creation. 1,0 kwh is little more than that required for pumping of water in the national grit in Germany. The IBTS Greenhouse, designed for water desalination produces distilled water with 0,45 kwh per cubic metre.

Together, wastewater treatment and desalination have the potential to strongly reduce the number of people affected by water scarcity globally. However, economic and environmental side effects of these technologies must also be taken into consideration.[83]

Virtual water trade

The virtual water trade is the hidden flow of water in food or other commodities that are traded from one place to another.[84] Other terms for it are embedded or embodied water. The virtual water trade is the idea that virtual water is exchanged along with goods and services. This idea provides a new, amplified perspective on water problems. It balances different perspectives, basic conditions, and interests. This concept makes it possible to distinguish between global, regional, and local levels and their linkages. However, the use of virtual water estimates may offer no guidance for policymakers seeking to ensure they are meeting environmental objectives.

For example, cereal grains have been major carriers of virtual water in countries where water resources are scarce. So cereal imports can compensate for local water deficits.[85] However, low-income countries may not be able to afford such imports in the future. This could lead to food insecurity and starvation.

Regional examples

Overview of regions

File:Water-crisis.jpg
South Asian woman carrying water on her head, 2016

There are many countries of the world that are severely impacted with regard to human health and inadequate drinking water. The following is a partial list of some of the countries with significant populations (numerical population of affected population listed) whose only consumption is of contaminated water:[86]

Several world maps showing various aspects of the problem can be found in this graph article.[87]

The following countries have large water deficits — Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Mexico, and Pakistan.

Water deficits, which are already spurring heavy grain imports in numerous smaller countries, may soon do the same in larger countries, such as China and India.[88] The water tables are falling in scores of countries (including Northern China, the US, and India) due to widespread over-pumping using powerful diesel and electric pumps. Other countries affected include Pakistan, Iran, and Mexico. This will eventually lead to water scarcity and cutbacks in grain harvest.

In 2025, water shortages will be more prevalent among poorer countries where resources are limited and population growth is rapid, such as the Middle East, Africa, and parts of Asia.[citation needed] By 2025, large urban and peri-urban areas will require new infrastructure to provide safe water and adequate sanitation. This suggests growing conflicts with agricultural water users, who currently consume the majority of the water used by humans.[citation needed]

Following Russia's re-integration of Crimea, Ukraine blocked the North Crimean Canal, which provided 85% of Crimea's fresh water.[89]

Generally speaking the more developed countries of North America, Europe and Russia will not see a serious threat to water supply by the year 2025, not only because of their relative wealth, but more importantly their populations will be better aligned with available water resources.[citation needed] North Africa, the Middle East, South Africa and northern China will face very severe water shortages due to physical scarcity and a condition of overpopulation relative to their carrying capacity with respect to water supply.[citation needed] Most of South America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Southern China and India will face water supply shortages by 2025; for these latter regions the causes of scarcity will be economic constraints to developing safe drinking water, as well as excessive population growth.[citation needed]

Africa

The main causes of water scarcity in Africa are physical and economic water scarcity, rapid population growth, and the effects of climate change on the water cycle. Water scarcity is the lack of fresh water resources to meet the standard water demand.[90] The rainfall in sub-Saharan Africa is highly seasonal and unevenly distributed, leading to frequent floods and droughts.[91]

The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations reported in 2012 that growing water scarcity is now one of the leading challenges for sustainable development.[92] This is because an increasing number of river basins have reached conditions of water scarcity. The reasons for this are the combined demands of agriculture and other sectors. Water scarcity in Africa has several impacts. They range from health, particularly affecting women and children, to education, agricultural productivity and sustainable development. It can also lead to more water conflicts.

West Africa and North Africa

Water scarcity in Yemen (see: Water supply and sanitation in Yemen) is a growing problem that has resulted from population growth, poor water management, climate change, shifts in rainfall, water infrastructure deterioration, poor governance, and other anthropogenic effects. As of 2011, it has been estimated that Yemen is experiencing water scarcity to a degree that affects its political, economic and social dimensions. As of 2015,[93] Yemen is among the most water scarce countries in the world. The majority of Yemen's population experiences water scarcity for at least one month during the year. In Nigeria, some reports have suggested that increase in extreme heat, drought and the shrinking of Lake Chad is causing water shortage and environmental migration that is forcing thousands to migrate to neighboring Chad and towns.[94]

Asia

According to a major report compiled in 2019 by more than 200 researchers, the Himalayan glaciers that are the sources of Asia's biggest rivers – Ganges, Indus, Brahmaputra, Yangtze, Mekong, Salween and Yellow – could lose 66 percent of their ice by 2100.[95] Approximately 2.4 billion people live in the drainage basin of the Himalayan rivers.[96] India, China, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Myanmar could experience floods followed by droughts in coming decades. In India alone, the Ganges provides water for drinking and farming for more than 500 million people.[97][98][99]

Even with the overpumping of its aquifers, China is developing a grain deficit. When this happens, it will almost certainly drive grain prices upward. Most of the 3 billion people projected to be added worldwide by mid-century will be born in countries already experiencing water shortages. Unless population growth can be slowed quickly, it is feared that there may not be a practical non-violent or humane solution to the emerging world water shortage.[100][101] It is highly likely that climate change in Turkey will cause its southern river basins to be water scarce before 2070, and increasing drought in Turkey.[102]

Americas

Folsom Lake reservoir during the drought in California in 2015.[103]

In the Rio Grande Valley, intensive agribusiness has exacerbated water scarcity issues and sparked jurisdictional disputes regarding water rights on both sides of the U.S.-Mexico border. Scholars, including Mexican political scientist Armand Peschard-Sverdrup, have argued that this tension has created the need for a re-developed strategic transnational water management.[104] Some have declared the disputes tantamount to a "war" over diminishing natural resources.[105][106]

The west coast of North America, which gets much of its water from glaciers in mountain ranges such as the Rocky Mountains and Sierra Nevada, also would be affected.[72][107]

Australia

After years of drought and dust storms the town of Farina in South Australia was abandoned.

By far the largest part of Australia is desert or semi-arid lands commonly known as the outback.[108] Water restrictions are in place in many regions and cities of Australia in response to chronic shortages resulting from drought. The Australian of the year 2007, environmentalist Tim Flannery, predicted that unless it made drastic changes, Perth in Western Australia could become the world's first ghost metropolis, an abandoned city with no more water to sustain its population.[109] In 2010, Perth suffered its second-driest winter on record[110] and the water corporation tightened water restrictions for spring.[111]

Some countries have already proven that decoupling water use from economic growth is possible. For example, in Australia, water consumption declined by 40% between 2001 and 2009 while the economy grew by more than 30%.[71]

By country

Water scarcity (or water crisis) in particular countries:

Society and culture

Human right to water

The United Nations Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights established a foundation of five core attributes for water security. They declare that the human right to water entitles everyone to sufficient, safe, acceptable, physically accessible, and affordable water for personal and domestic use.[11]

Global goals

Freshwater withdrawals as a share of internal resources in 2014. Water stress is defined by the following categories: <10% is low stress; 10-20% is low-to-medium; 20-40% medium-to-high; 40-80% high; >80% extremely high.[16]

Sustainable Development Goal 6 is about "clean water and sanitation for all".[112] It is one of 17 Sustainable Development Goals established by the United Nations General Assembly in 2015. The fourth target of SDG 6 refers to water scarcity and states: "By 2030, substantially increase water-use efficiency across all sectors and ensure sustainable withdrawals and supply of freshwater to address water scarcity and substantially reduce the number of people suffering from water scarcity".[14] It has two indicators. The second one is: "Level of water stress: freshwater withdrawal as a proportion of available freshwater resources". The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has been monitoring these parameters through its global water information system, AQUASTAT, since 1994.[15]: xii 

See also

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