The 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections and the Illinois Fair Tax. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dick Durbin, who had been Senate Minority Whip since 2015, won reelection to a fifth term in office, defeating Republican nominee Mark Curran.
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Turnout | 72.14% | ||||||||||||||||
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Durbin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Curran: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Durbin decisively won re-election with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was the heavily populated and very Democratic Cook County home of Chicago, which he won by around 560,000 votes. Durbin also did well in the suburban, often called collar counties of Chicago, winning all of them except McHenry County. Durbin did well in Champaign County, home of the University of Illinois, and St. Clair County, where his birth home of East St. Louis is located. Nevertheless, Curran did well in most rural areas of the state, including winning rural Alexander County where a Republican had not won since 1972. Durbin became the first senator from Illinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913.[1]
Background
editThe primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president and House) and those for state offices.
For the primaries, turnout was 28.36% with 2,279,439 votes cast.[2][3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Dick Durbin, incumbent U.S. senator and Senate Minority Whip[4]
Withdrawn
edit- Marilyn Jordan Lawlor, anti-war activist[5]
- Anne Stava-Murray, state representative[6]
Declined
edit- Cheri Bustos, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 17th congressional district (running for re-election)[7][8]
- Lisa Madigan, former Illinois Attorney General[9]
Endorsements
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dick Durbin (incumbent) | 1,446,118 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 1,446,118 | 100.00% |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Mark Curran, former Lake County sheriff and candidate for attorney general in 2014[18]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Casey Chlebek, businessman[19]
- Peggy Hubbard, U.S. Navy veteran and former police officer[20]
- Robert Marshall, physician and perennial candidate, Democratic primary candidate for Governor of Illinois in 2018[21][22]
- Richard Mayers (as a write-in candidate),[23] perennial candidate and alleged white supremacist;[24]
- Tom Tarter, cancer surgeon[25]
Withdrew
edit- Preston Nelson, Republican candidate for Illinois's 12th congressional district in 2018[26](Ran for IL-08 as a Libertarian)
- Dean Seppelfrick[26]
- Connor Vlakancic, CEO of 5Star Inc.[26] (switched to independent)[27]
Declined
edit- Rodney Davis, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 13th congressional district (running for re-election)[28]
- Erika Harold, attorney, former Miss America, candidate for IL-13 in 2014, and nominee for attorney general in 2018[28]
- Darin LaHood, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 18th congressional district (running for re-election)[29]
Endorsements
editU.S. representatives
- Bob Dold, former congressman (IL-10)
- Randy Hultgren, former congressman (IL-14)
U.S. Lieutenant Governors
- Evelyn Sanguinetti, former Lt. Governor of Illinois
U.S. Attorneys General
- Jim Ryan, former Attorney General of Illinois
Illinois legislators
- Mike Connelly, former state senator and state representative
- Dan McConchie, state senator
- Matt Murphy, former state senator
- Paul Schimpf, state senator
- W. Timothy Simms, former state senator and state representative
- Al Salvi, former state representative
- Darlene Senger, former state representative
- Tom Weber, state representative
Newspapers
Organizations
- Addison Township
- Cook County GOP
- Fremont Township GOP
- Illinois Family Action PAC
- Illinois Federation for Right to Life PAC
- Lake County GOP
- Libertyville Township GOP
- Lyons Township GOP
- National Right to Life Committee
- New Trier Republican Organization
- Niles Township Republican Organization
- Northfield Township GOP
- Northwest Side GOP Club
- Paul Caprio's Family-PAC
- Republican Women of Park Ridge
- Republicans of Maine Township
- United Hellenic Voters of America
- Warren Township GOP
- Wheeling Township GOP
Individuals
- David Clarke, former Milwaukee County Sheriff
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mark Curran | 205,747 | 41.55% | |
Republican | Peggy Hubbard | 113,189 | 22.86% | |
Republican | Robert Marshall | 75,561 | 15.26% | |
Republican | Tom Tarter | 73,009 | 14.74% | |
Republican | Casey Chlebek | 27,655 | 5.58% | |
Republican | Richard Mayers (write-in) | 7 | 0.00% | |
Total votes | 495,168 | 100.00% |
Other candidates
editA legal ruling, taking note of the COVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green Parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016.[31]
Constitution Party
editRemoved from Ballot
edit- Chad Koppie, perennial candidate and former member of the Kane County Regional Board Of School Trustees.[27][32]
Green Party
editNominee
editIndependent American Party
editWithdrawn
editLibertarian Party
editNominee
edit- Danny Malouf, human resource director,[36][37] former Republican candidate for the 2020 Illinois 14th congressional district election[38][39][40]
Willie Wilson Party
editDeclared
edit- Willie Wilson, businessman and perennial candidate[41]
Independents
editDeclared
edit- Kevin Keely, substitute teacher and community activist (as a write-in candidate)[42][43]
- Albert A. Schaal (as a write-in candidate)[44]
- Lowell Martin Seida, perennial candidate (as a write-in candidate)[45]
Withdrawn
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Safe D | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[48] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[50] | Safe D | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[51] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[52] | Safe D | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[53] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
538[54] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[55] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[56]
Newspapers
- Chicago Sun-Times[57]
- Daily Chronicle[58]
- Daily Herald[59]
- The Dispatch /The Dispatch–Argus[60]
- The News-Gazette[61]
Organizations
- Brady Campaign[10]
- Council for a Livable World[62]
- End Citizens United[12]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[63]
- Giffords[64]
- Human Rights Campaign[65]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[66]
- J Street[14]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[67]
- League of Conservation Voters[68]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[69]
- National Education Association[70]
- National Organization for Women[15]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[71]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Planned Parenthood Illinois Action[16]
- Sierra Club[17]
Unions
- Illinois AFL–CIO[72]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers[73]
- SEIU Healthcare: Indiana-Illinois-Missouri-Kansas[74]
- United Auto Workers[75]
Newspapers
Organizations
- Log Cabin Republicans[77]
- Northfield Township Republican Organization[78]
- Tazewell County Republican Party[79]
Alderman
- Nicholas Sposato, Alderman for Chicago's 38th Ward[80]
- Anthony Napolitano, Alderman for Chicago's 41st Ward[80]
- Chris Taliaferro, Alderman for Chicago's 29th Ward[80]
Organizations
- Chicago Police Union[81]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dick Durbin (D) |
Mark Curran (R) |
Willie Wilson (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co.[82] | October 31 – November 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 30% | – | 4%[b] | 14% |
Victory Research[83] | October 26 – November 1, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 26% | 15% | 5%[c] | 4% |
with Dick Durbin, generic Republican and Willie Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dick Durbin (D) |
Generic Republican (R) | Willie Wilson (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[84][A] | September 4, 2019 | 449 (LV) | ± 4.31% | 44% | 34% | 4% | 18% |
with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dick Durbin (D) |
Willie Wilson (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[84][A] | September 4, 2019 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.31% | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Results
editDurbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021, for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dick Durbin (incumbent) | 3,278,930 | 54.93% | +1.38% | |
Republican | Mark Curran | 2,319,870 | 38.87% | −3.82% | |
Willie Wilson Party | Willie Wilson | 237,699 | 3.98% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Danny Malouf | 75,673 | 1.27% | −2.49% | |
Green | David Black | 56,711 | 0.95% | N/A | |
Write-in | 18 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 5,968,901 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Alexander (Largest city: Cairo)
- Calhoun (Largest village: Hardin)
- Fulton (Largest city: Canton)
- Gallatin (Largest city: Shawneetown)
- Henderson (Largest village: Oquawka)
- Knox (Largest city: Galesburg)
- Pulaski (Largest city: Mounds)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- DeKalb (Largest city: DeKalb)
- DuPage (Largest city: Aurora)
- Kane (Largest city: Aurora)
- Kendall (Largest village: Oswego)
- McLean (Largest city: Bloomington)
- Peoria (Largest city: Peoria)
- Will (Largest city: Joliet)
- Winnebago (Largest city: Rockford)
By congressional district
editDurbin won 12 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining 6 going to Curran. Curran won one district held by a Democrat.[86]
District | Durbin | Curran | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 64% | 22% | Bobby Rush |
2nd | 68% | 18% | Robin Kelly |
3rd | 55% | 37% | Dan Lipinski |
Marie Newman | |||
4th | 78% | 14% | Chuy García |
5th | 69% | 25% | Mike Quigley |
6th | 51% | 44% | Sean Casten |
7th | 75% | 12% | Danny Davis |
8th | 58% | 37% | Raja Krishnamoorthi |
9th | 68% | 27% | Jan Schakowsky |
10th | 60% | 36% | Brad Schneider |
11th | 59% | 35% | Bill Foster |
12th | 44% | 53% | Mike Bost |
13th | 47.7% | 48.3% | Rodney Davis |
14th | 47% | 48% | Lauren Underwood |
15th | 29% | 68% | Mary Miller |
16th | 41% | 55% | Adam Kinzinger |
17th | 49% | 48% | Cheri Bustos |
18th | 37% | 60% | Darin LaHood |
Notes
editPartisan clients
References
edit- ^ "Illinois U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
- ^ "Voter Turnout". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2020.
- ^ a b c "Election Results 2020 GENERAL PRIMARY". Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved April 17, 2020.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ Greenwood, Max (January 3, 2019). "Dick Durbin: I'm running for reelection in 2020". The Hill. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
- ^ @chooselove2020 (December 3, 2019). "While our campaign to unseat Dick Durbin has come to an end, the work of our grassroots movement of economic, political, racial & environmental justice is never over. I will doing everything I can to help Bernie win & my fellow down ballot progressives in IL. Not me, us!" (Tweet). Retrieved December 18, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ Pearson, Rick (July 16, 2019). "With just $9.72 in the bank, Democratic lawmaker from Naperville officially ends long-shot primary challenge to Sen. Dick Durbin". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan (November 7, 2018). "It's Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map". Roll Call. Retrieved November 18, 2018.
- ^ Hayden, Sarah (September 18, 2019). "Bustos has three challengers; McCombie running again". Quad-City Times. Retrieved March 1, 2020.
- ^ Korecki, Natasha (September 15, 2017). "Madigan stuns Illinois by announcing she won't seek reelection". Politico. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
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- ^ "MARCH 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSED CANDIDATES" (PDF). Chicago Federation of Labor. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 13, 2020. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ a b "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United. January 21, 2020. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ "Illinois AFL-CIO 2020 Primary Election Endorsements" (PDF). Illinois AFL-CIO. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ a b "Sen. Dick Durbin (D, IL)". J Street PAC. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ a b "2020 FEDERAL ENDORSEMENTS". National Organization for Women PAC. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ a b c d "Election 2020 Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Illinois Action. Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ a b "VOTE FOR SIERRA CLUB'S CLIMATE CHAMPIONS 2020 ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club Independent Action. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
- ^ "Report: Former Lake County Sheriff Mark Curran to run for U.S. Senate". Daily Herald. August 7, 2019. Retrieved August 9, 2019.
- ^ Bustos, Joseph (September 5, 2019). "These candidates have announced they are running for office in the 2020 election". Belleville News-Democrat. Retrieved November 25, 2019.
- ^ Cox, Benjamin (August 8, 2019). "Crowded Race for Illinois U.S. Senate Seat Shaping Up for 2020". WLDS AM. Retrieved August 9, 2019.
- ^ Schwaller, Kevin (July 9, 2019). "Former candidate for governor Robert Marshall challenging Durbin for U.S. Senator". WMBD-TV. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
- ^ Sfondeles, Tina (August 11, 2017). "Pritzker wins key Dem nod for gov, vows victory 'up and down' ticket". Chicago Sun Times. Chicago, Illinois. Archived from the original on August 21, 2017. Retrieved August 21, 2017.
- ^ "LIST OF PERSONS WHO FILED A DECLARATION OF INTENT TO BE A WRITE-IN CANDIDATE" (PDF). Kane County Clerk. January 16, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ "'I snookered them': Illinois Nazi candidate creates GOP dumpster fire". Politico.com. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
- ^ Schoenburg, Bernard (August 12, 2019). "Tarter, of Springfield, enters U.S. Senate race". The State Journal-Register. Retrieved September 2, 2019.
- ^ a b c "IL US Senate – R Primary". Our Campaigns. April 17, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ a b c "ILLINOIS". Politics1. Retrieved July 5, 2020.
- ^ a b "2020 Senate At-A-Glance" (PDF). Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 9, 2019.
- ^ Vlahos, Nick (August 14, 2019). "U.S. Rep. Darin LaHood says he's running for re-election in 2020". The State Journal-Register. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- ^ "Over 60 endorsements for Mark Curran for US Senate – Mark Curran". Archived from the original on April 11, 2020. Retrieved April 11, 2020.
- ^ "COVID-19 updates: Filing deadline changed". The State Journal-Register. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
- ^ a b c "Illinois 2020 Senate Candidate List". Archived from the original on October 9, 2020. Retrieved August 17, 2020.
- ^ "Candidates". Illinois Green Party. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
- ^ "The Green Papers: Illinois 2019 General Election". The Green Papers. May 14, 2020. Retrieved July 5, 2020.
- ^ "The Green Papers: Illinois 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. July 3, 2020. Retrieved July 5, 2020.
- ^ "Current Candidates – Libertarian Party of Illinois". www.lpillinois.org. Archived from the original on April 8, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
- ^ Leonard, Jake (January 23, 2020). "Malouf set to seek Libertarian nomination for U.S. Senate at annual convention in East Peoria". Heartland Newsfeed. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
- ^ "Danny Malouf". Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 12, 2020.
- ^ Ortiz, Alex (March 4, 2019). "Crystal Lake Republican aims to challenge Underwood in 2020". www.nwherald.com. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved April 12, 2020.
- ^ Hegarty, Erin (February 26, 2019). "Woodstock-based Republican says he'll run for Underwood's Congressional seat in 2020". chicagotribune.com. Retrieved April 12, 2020.
- ^ Donovan, Lisa. "Chicago businessman Willie Wilson says he'll run as an independent to challenge U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin in 2020". chicagotribune.com. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
- ^ "News". Kevin Kelly for U.S. Senate. September 10, 2020. Archived from the original on October 13, 2020. Retrieved October 12, 2020.
- ^ "ILLINOIS". PoliticsOne. September 30, 2020. Retrieved October 13, 2020.
- ^ "Schaal, Albert A." Our Campaigns. October 3, 2020. Retrieved October 12, 2020.
- ^ Kosho, Rick (September 4, 2020). "Write-in candidate filing ends". WCMY 1430 AM. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- ^ a b "Illinois Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
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- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
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- ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ I am honored to have President @BarackObama’s support in my re-election campaign (Online video). Senator Dick Durbin. October 22, 2020.
- ^ "NDORSEMENT: Dick Durbin for the U.S. Senate and a new Democratic majority". Chicago Sun-Times. September 23, 2020. Retrieved September 24, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsement: U.S. Senate: Dick Durbin". Daily Chronicle. September 28, 2020. Archived from the original on October 7, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsement: Dick Durbin for U.S. senate". Daily Herald. September 27, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsement: Dick Durbin for U.S. Senate – Illinois". The Dispatch /The Rock Island Argus. October 9, 2020. Retrieved October 23, 2020.
- ^ The Editorial Board. "Editorial | Our choices for Congress". The News-Gazette.
- ^ "Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
- ^ "Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Dick Durbin for U.S. Senate In Illinois". Everytown. June 9, 2020.
- ^ "Giffords Endorses Slate of Senators Running to Bring a Gun Safety Majority to the US Senate". Giffords. May 8, 2020.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses 40 House, 5 Senate Pro-Equality Leaders". Human Rights Campaign. May 18, 2020.
- ^ Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
- ^ "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ "Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters.
- ^ "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
- ^ "U.S. Senate – Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
- ^ "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 11 House, Senate Candidates". nrdcactionfund.org. June 15, 2020.
- ^ "Illinois AFL-CIO 2020 General Election Endorsements" (PDF). Illinois AFL-CIO. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
- ^ "IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements". ifpte.org. International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers. July 6, 2020. Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Illinois Election Center". seiuhcilin.org. Retrieved May 4, 2020.
- ^ "Illinois – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
- ^ "Editorial: Republican Mark Curran Jr. for U.S. Senate". Chicago Tribune. October 9, 2020. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
- ^ "Letter To The Editor: Log Cabin Republicans Endorse Mark Curran For U.S. Senate". RiverBender. AdVantage News. September 24, 2020. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
- ^ "Mark Curran for US Senate". Northfield GOP. Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsements". Tazewell County Republican Party. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
- ^ a b c "Alderman Sposato, Napolitano, Taliaferro endorse Willie Wilson for U.S. Senate". October 2, 2020. Archived from the original on August 26, 2021. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
- ^ Dudek, Mitch (September 16, 2020). "Willie Wilson embraces endorsement of police union that's clashed with Black Lives Matter". Chicago Sun-Times.
- ^ Research Co.
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ a b Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson
- ^ "Election Results 2020 GENERAL ELECTION". Illinois State Board of Elections. December 4, 2020. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
External links
edit- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Illinois", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Illinois: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Illinois". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Illinois at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites
- David Black (G) for U.S. Senate Archived October 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Mark Curran (R) for U.S. Senate
- Dick Durbin (D) for U.S. Senate
- Danny Malouf (L) for U.S. Senate Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Willie Wilson (I) for U.S. Senate Archived October 16, 2019, at the Wayback Machine