2023 Rockingham state by-election

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A by-election for the electoral district of Rockingham in Western Australia was held on 29 July 2023, following the resignation of Premier and sitting Labor MP Mark McGowan, on 8 June 2023.[1][2] The writ was issued on the same day.[3]

2023 Rockingham state by-election

29 July 2023

Electoral district of Rockingham in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly
Reporting
73.07%
as of 8:15PM WAST
  First party Second party Third party
 
ALP
LIB
IND
Candidate Magenta Marshall Peter Hudson Hayley Edwards
Party Labor Liberal Independent
Popular vote 8,039 2,848 2,403
Percentage 49.81% 17.65% 14.89%
Swing Decrease 32.94 Increase 7.88 Increase 14.89
TPP 67.13% 32.87%
TPP swing Decrease 20.59 Increase 20.59

Map showing the location of the electoral district of Rockingham (dark green) in metropolitan Perth, Western Australia

MP before election

Mark McGowan
Labor

Elected MP

Magenta Marshall
Labor

The two major party candidates for the election were Magenta Marshall for the Australian Labor Party and Peter Hudson for the Liberal Party. Additionally, Hayley Edwards the Deputy Mayor of the City of Rockingham also announced her candidacy.[4] The Greens preselected Madeleine De Jong. There are were nine candidates for the seat.[5] Notably, both major parties preselected candidates under the age of 30.[6]

The election was called for Labor at 7:30pm WAST, with Marshall claiming victory for the Labor Party. However, Labor suffered one of the biggest swings against it at a by-election in the state's history: with a swing against them of 32.94% in the primary vote and a swing against of 20.59% in the two-party-preferred vote.[7]

Background

Resignation of Mark McGowan

On 29 May 2023, McGowan announced that he was resigning as Premier of Western Australia and the MLA for Rockingham, a seat he had held since 1996. He stated that the job was "relentless" and that he no longer had the "energy or drive to continue". Reflecting on his political career, McGowan thanked voters of Western Australia who had "provided [him] with the opportunity of a lifetime." McGowan led Labor to government for the first time since 2008 in 2017.[8]

Seat details

The electoral district of Rockingham was first contested at the 1974 Western Australian state election and has been held by the Australian Labor Party since its inception. Previous member Mike Barnett held the district from the beginning until his retirement at the 1996 election where he was succeeded by McGowan. Barring the elections in 1974 and 1977, Rockingham has been a consistently safe electorate for Labor with the smallest margin being 0.9 per cent of the two-party-preferred vote (TPP) in its first election. At the 2021 Western Australian state election, McGowan received a TPP of 87.7% - one of the highest margins in both federal and state elections in Australia.

Geographically, the district encompasses the City of Rockingham and its surrounding areas. Located 47 km south-southwest of the Perth CBD by the coast near the Cockburn Sound inlet. The district is adjacent to several maritime and resource-industry installations and offshore is home to Australia's largest naval fleet and submarine base at Garden Island. According to the 2021 Census, the median age of Rockingham is 45 with a weekly median household income of $1,273 per week. 20.5 per cent of residents are currently engaged in secondary education and 17.7 per cent in tertiary education.[9]

Two-party-preferred vote in Rockingham, 1996–2021
Election 1996 2001 2005 2008 2013 2017 2021
  Labor 57.50% 65.6% 62.30% 60.60% 63.20% 73.40% 87.70%
  Liberal 42.50% 34.4% 37.70% 39.40% 36.80% 26.60% 12.30%
Government LIB ALP ALP LIB LIB ALP ALP

Candidates

Party Candidate Background
Labor Magenta Marshall Labor campaign strategist.[10]
Legalise Cannabis Rae Cottam City of Rockingham councillor.[11]
Liberal Peter Hudson Resources sector recruitment consultant; candidate for Brand at the 2022 federal election.[6]
Janetia Knapp Candidate for Fremantle at the 2022 federal election. Endorsed by the unregistered Western Australia Party.
Greens Madeleine De Jong Former staffer to Jordon Steele-John.
Independent Clive Galletly Massage therapist.
Independent Hayley Edwards Deputy Mayor of Rockingham.[12] She was formerly affiliated with the Labor Party.
Australian Christians Mike Crichton[13] Candidate for the Senate at the 2022 federal election.
Independent Peter Dunne Candidate at the 2022 North West Central state by-election.

Preselection

Labor

On 14 June, it was confirmed that Labor strategist Magenta Marshall has been preselected for Labor to run as the party's candidate in Rockingham.[10]

Liberal

On 13 June, the Liberal Party announced that the party would contest the by-election.[14]

On 18 June, it was reported that 21-year-old Peter Hudson will be the party's candidate. He was the only person to nominate for preselection.[6]

2021 election results

2021 Western Australian state election: Rockingham[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Mark McGowan 19,661 82.8 +21.3
Liberal Michael McClure 2,322 9.8 −7.9
Greens Breanna Morgan 753 3.2 −4.0
One Nation Geoff George 489 2.1 −6.6
No Mandatory Vaccination Tom Hawkins 383 1.6 +1.6
Liberal Democrats William Lofts 151 0.6 +0.6
Total formal votes 23,759 96.7 +1.1
Informal votes 801 3.3 −1.1
Turnout 24,560 83.9 −1.2
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Mark McGowan 20,836 87.7 +14.2
Liberal Michael McClure 2,916 12.3 −14.2
Labor hold Swing +14.2

Results

2023 Rockingham state by-election[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Magenta Marshall 7,434 49.85 −32.94
Liberal Peter Hudson 2,627 17.61 +7.87
Independent Hayley Edwards 2,403 14.89 +14.89
Legalise Cannabis Rae Cottam 1,171 7.26 +7.26
Greens Madeleine De Jong 830 5.14 +1.97
Christians Mike Crichton 403 2.53 +2.53
Western Australia Janetia Knapp 181 1.12 +1.12
Independent Clive Gallety 136 0.84 +0.84
Independent Peter Dunne 123 0.76 +0.76
Total formal votes 16,139
Informal votes 495
Turnout 16,634
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Magenta Marshall 4,577 67.13 −20.59
Liberal Peter Hudson 2,241 32.87 +20.59
Labor hold Swing −20.59

Results are not final. Last updated at 8:02PM AWST (10:02PM AEST) on Saturday, 29 July.

See also

References

  1. ^ "'I'm tired, extremely tired': Western Australia Premier Mark McGowan steps down". Nine News.
  2. ^ Bourke, Keane (8 June 2023). "WA Premier Roger Cook sworn in with new cabinet, forecasting 'remarkable things'". ABC News (Australia). Archived from the original on 9 June 2023. Retrieved 9 June 2023.
  3. ^ https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/elections/state-elections/2023-rockingham-election
  4. ^ "High-profile independent joins race for Rockingham". The West Australian. 20 June 2023. Retrieved 22 June 2023.
  5. ^ Cross, Hannah (5 July 2023). "Independents hope to make a dent in margin as Rockingham by-election candidates ready for July 29 vote". The West Australian.
  6. ^ a b c https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/liberals-preselect-peter-hudson-setting-up-youth-battle-to-replace-mark-mcgowan-in-rockingham-by-election--c-11017122
  7. ^ https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-29/rockingham-byelection-won-by-labor-magenta-marshall/102640748
  8. ^ Shepherd, Tory (29 May 2023). "Mark McGowan resigns as premier of Western Australia, saying he is 'exhausted'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  9. ^ "2021 Rockingham (South Metropolitan), Census All persons QuickStats | Australian Bureau of Statistics". www.abs.gov.au. Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  10. ^ a b Zimmerman, Josh (14 June 2023). "Labor strategist Magenta Marshall confirmed as party's candidate to replace Mark McGowan in Rockingham". The West Australian. Retrieved 28 June 2023.
  11. ^ https://www.coastlive.com.au/news/local-news/rockingham-councillor-announced-as-legalise-cannabis-party-candidate-for-by-election/
  12. ^ https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/rockingham-deputy-mayor-hayley-edwards-nominates-as-independent-candidate-to-replace-mark-mcgowan-c-11033151
  13. ^ "Rockingham by-election 2023 | Western Australia - Australian Christians". australianchristians.org.au. 23 June 2023. Retrieved 28 June 2023.
  14. ^ https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/liberals-hope-for-swing-in-ultra-safe-labor-seat-of-rockingham-after-mark-mcgowan-resignation-c-10962226
  15. ^ 2021 State General Election – Rockingham District Results, WAEC
  16. ^ https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/elections/state/byelection#/2023-Rockingham-By-election