2022 United States Senate election in Nevada

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada.

2022 United States Senate election in Nevada

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Nominee Catherine Cortez Masto Adam Laxalt
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Catherine Cortez Masto
Democratic



This race is expected to be competitive and could determine party control of the U.S. Senate, and is widely seen as the most likely Republican pickup opportunity. Incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was first elected in 2016 with 47.1% of the vote, holding a seat left open by former Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid. She has stated she will run for a second term. Former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt is the Republican challenger.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Results

 
Results by county:
  Cortez Masto
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[2][27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) 159,694 90.87%
Democratic Corey Reid 4,491 2.56%
None of These Candidates 4,216 2.40%
Democratic Allen Rheinhart 3,852 2.19%
Democratic Stephanie Kasheta 3,487 1.98%
Total votes 175,740 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Debates

2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Nevada debates[i]
No. Date Organizer Location Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Source
Sam Brown Bill Conrad Bill Hockstedler Adam Laxalt Sharellen Mendenhall
1 April 7, 2022 Redmove Nevada Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, Reno A P P A P [35][36]
2 May 9, 2022 Nevada Newsmakers Nevada Newsmakers Studio, Reno P N N P N [37][38]
  1. ^ Minor candidates that didn't participate in any of the debates are omitted.

Endorsements

Sam Brown (eliminated in primary)
Adam Laxalt
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Sam
Brown
Bill
Hockstedler
Adam
Laxalt
Sharelle
Mendenhall
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics April 25 – June 7, 2022 June 10, 2022 30.3% 1.0% 51.3% 3.0% 24.4% Laxalt +21.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Sam
Brown
Bill
Hockstedler
Adam
Laxalt
Sharelle
Mendenhall
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
OH Predictive Insights June 6–7, 2022 525 (LV) ± 4.4% 34% 1% 48% 3% 2% 3%[c] 9%
University of Nevada Reno May 17–27, 2022 368 (LV) ± 5.9% 31% 5% 57% 7%
OH Predictive Insights May 10–12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 30% 0% 45% 3% 8% 2%[d] 11%
Emerson College April 30 – May 2, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 27% 1% 50% 4% 3%[e] 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 25–28, 2022 1,071 (LV) ± 3.0% 26% 1% 50% 3% 5% 15%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] April 24–26, 2022 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 20% 1% 57% 1% 9% 12%
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] March 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 19% 1% 57% 1% 3% 15%
OH Predictive Insights January 19–26, 2022 230 (RV) ± 6.5% 14% 37% 49%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Dean
Heller
Adam
Laxalt
Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] December 9–11, 2020 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 25% 44% 6% 25%

Results

 
Results by county:
  Laxalt
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brown
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[2][27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adam Laxalt 127,757 55.91%
Republican Sam Brown 78,206 34.23%
Republican Sharelle Mendenhall 6,946 3.04%
None of These Candidates 6,277 2.75%
Republican William "Bill" Conrad 3,440 1.51%
Republican William "Bill" Hockstedler 2,836 1.24%
Republican Paul Rodriguez 1,844 0.81%
Republican Tyler Perkins 850 0.37%
Republican Carlo Poliak 332 0.15%
Total votes 228,488 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Neil Scott, accountant[2]

Independent American primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Barry Lindemann, asset manager[57]

Not on ballot

  • J. J. Destin, truck driver[58]
  • Gretchen Rae Lowe[58]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[59] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[60] Tossup February 24, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[61] Tossup March 1, 2022
Politico[62] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[63] Tossup November 1, 2022
Fox News[64] Tossup May 12, 2022
DDHQ[65] Tossup August 22, 2022
538[66] Tossup September 22, 2022
The Economist[67] Tossup November 3, 2022

Endorsements

Catherine Cortez Masto (D)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Labor unions
Adam Laxalt (R)
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)
Adam
Laxalt (R)
Undecided
[f]
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 13 – October 24, 2022 October 30, 2022 46.4% 47.6% 6.0% Laxalt +1.2
FiveThirtyEight October 5 – October 26, 2022 October 30, 2022 46.6% 46.1% 7.3% Cortez Masto +0.5
270towin October 27 – November 1, 2022 November 1, 2022 45.2% 45.4% 9.4% Laxalt +0.2
Average 46.1% 46.4% 7.5% Laxalt +0.3
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)
Adam
Laxalt (R)
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
Emerson College October 26–29, 2022 2,000 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 50% 1% 2%[g] 3%
46% 51% 1% 3%[h]
Suffolk University October 24–28, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% 3% 4%[i] 5%
OH Predictive Insights October 24–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 41% 1% 5%[j] 10%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[C] October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 48% <1% 4%[k] 5%
Echelon Insights October 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 2%[l] 8%
46% 48% 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 21–24, 2022 1,100 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 50% 3%[m] 2%
Siena Research/NYT October 19–24, 2022 885 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 47% 2%[n] 4%
Phillips Academy October 22–23, 2022 1,052 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[D] October 20, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 48% 2%[o] 4%
CBS News/YouGov October 14–19, 2022 1,057 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 49% 3%[p]
Data for Progress (D) October 13–19, 2022 819 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2%[q] 1%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.[E] October 12–19, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 42% 5%[r] 10%
University of Nevada, Reno October 5–19, 2022 586 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 39% 3%[s] 5%
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] October 16–18, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 45% 6%[t]
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 13–17, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 48% 4%[u] 5%
Suffolk University October 4–7, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% 3% 3%[v] 5%
WPA Intelligence (R)[B] October 2–4, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 42% 4%[w] 10%
CNN/SSRS September 26 – October 2, 2022 926 (RV) ± 4.7% 47% 44% 2% 3%[x] 1%
828 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% 48% 2% 3%[y]
OH Predictive Insights September 20–29, 2022 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 45% 3% 2%[z] 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[D] September 20, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 46% 2%[aa] 9%
Big Data Poll September 18–20, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 46%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 17–20, 2022 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 47% 5%[ab] 5%
Data for Progress (D) September 14–19, 2022 874 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 6%[ac] 2%
Emerson College September 8–10, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 41% 42% 4% 11%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) August 16–24, 2022 1,332 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 40% 3% 4%[ad] 9%
48% 47% 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 15–18, 2022 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 47% 4%[ae] 6%
Suffolk University August 14–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 38% 3% 3%[af] 12%
Beacon Research (D)[F] July 5–20, 2022 479 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 39% 1% 7%
301 (LV) ± 5.6% 51% 45% 1% 2%
Emerson College July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 44% 41% 6% 9%
Change Research (D)[G] June 24–27, 2022 701 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 12%
University of Nevada, Reno May 17–27, 2022 1,098 (A) ± 3.4% 48% 27% 11% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[H] April 18–20, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 35% 22%
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 43% 3% 14%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 21–24, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 40% 47% 13%
Change Research (D)[G] March 2022 – (LV) 44% 46% 10%
OH Predictive Insights January 19–26, 2022 755 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 35% 21%
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 24–29, 2021 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 41% 44% 15%
NRSC (R)[I] November 14–17, 2021 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 42% 46% 12%
The Mellman Group (D) September 15–22, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 41% 3% 10%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] September 11–15, 2021 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 39% 12% 12%
VCreek/AMG (R)[J] August 9–14, 2021 567 (RV) ± 4.1% 32% 42% 26%
Hypothetical polling
Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Sam Brown
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)
Sam
Brown (R)
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
University of Nevada, Reno May 17–27, 2022 1,098 (A) ± 3.4% 47% 24% 13% 16%
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 34% 24%
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 40% 5% 17%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Nevada
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent)
Republican Adam Laxalt
Libertarian Neil Scott N/A
Independent American Barry Rubinson
Independent Barry Lindemann N/A
None of These Candidates
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Conrad, Perkins, and Rodriguez with 1%
  4. ^ Conrad and Rodriguez with 1%; Perkins and Poliak with 0%
  5. ^ Conrad, Perkins, Pollak, and Rodriguez with 1%
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with <1%
  8. ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%
  9. ^ Scott (L) with 2%; Lindemann (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%
  10. ^ Lindemann (I) with 2%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  11. ^ Rubinson (IA) with 2%; Scott (L) with 1%; "Refuse" with 1%
  12. ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with <1%
  13. ^ Scott (L) with 3%
  14. ^ Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Lindemann (I) with <1%
  15. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  17. ^ Scott (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  19. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  20. ^ Scott (L) with 4%; Rubinson (IA) with 2%
  21. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  22. ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%
  23. ^ Rubinson (IA) and Scott (L) with 2%
  24. ^ "Other" with 3%
  25. ^ "Other" with 3%
  26. ^ Robinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%
  27. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  28. ^ Scott (L) with 2%; "Other" with 3%
  29. ^ Scott (L) with 4%; "Another candidate" with 2%
  30. ^ Rubinson with 2%; Lindemann and Scott with 1%
  31. ^ Scott with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  32. ^ Scott with 2%; Rubinson with 1%; Lindemann with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Laxalt's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which supports Laxalt
  3. ^ Poll conducted for BUSR, an online gambling website.
  4. ^ a b Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  5. ^ Poll conducted for Univision.
  6. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
  7. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by Battle Born Values PAC
  9. ^ This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC

References

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  8. ^ a b Society, Humane. "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
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  69. ^ "Sanders to barnstorm across 8 states before Election Day". October 19, 2022.
  70. ^ "Republicans endorsing Cortez Masto, Laxalt campaign announces Democrat support". Nevada Current. August 5, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  71. ^ "As a Republican in rural Nevada, I'm supporting Sen. Cortez Masto". Reno Gazette Journal. June 29, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
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